OSEBX- Trading at
DDHigh 229,5. Risk reward
BDD 219,5 DDLow 209,5 (-4,34%/-8,75%), gives a very good short term selling opportunity!
OSEBX vs Nymex (Fabruary):
Nymex January 2010 vs February 2009: As you can see of the chart, the end of the forward curve (2010) has outperformed spot by almost
30% , since the start of November. Given that, one of the favorite trades in the market has been bying spot, take delivery, and then sell the forward curve longer out. ( For those with storage capazity ) Because of this, I think we will see big volatility in the forward curve, as the participants seek maximum profit, and also get greedy with their physical oil. With this taken into consideration, I see further downside. There is simply to much oil out there!