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lørdag 15. november 2008

Sunday Update. Get ready for Rally!!!

Dow Jones Index: The Stick Sandwitch with an Inverted Head and Shoulder, where the Stick Sandwitch appears as the right shoulder in the formation.

The Stick Sandwitch: A bullish reversal pattern with two red bodies surrounding a green body. A support prices is apparent and the opportunity for prices to reverse is quite good.
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Inverted Head and Shoulder: Head=DDLow 8290 Neckline=DDHigh 8860 (DDHigh-Neckline)=570 points. (Neckline+570)= HS Target 9430.
Short term HS Upside Potential: (+11%)

Dynamic Deviations: Short term: DDLow=8290 BDD=8575 DDHigh=8860. Risk Reward Calcuation (-2,3%/+4,4%) Good RR.Nymex: The Stick Sandwitch, with DDHigh=64,91.
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Dynamic Deviations: Short term: BDD=57,5 DDLow=59,87 DDHigh=64,91. Risk Reward Calculation (+2,70%/+15,64%) Extreme good RR! Upside Potential (+15,64%)OSEBX: The Bullish Upside Tasuki Gap

The Bullish Upside Tasuki Gap: The pattern is characterized by two green candlesticks with a gap upward between them. However the pattern also shows a red candlestick on the third day partially closing the gap between the first two. The red candlestick is the result of temporary profit taking. I expect the trend to continue upward following the direction of the upward gap.

Dynamic Deviatons: Short term: DDLow=233,10 BDD=237,5 DDHigh=245,20. Risk Reward Calculation (+5%/+10%) Extreme good RR!:Stock Pick 1: Google Inc: Inverted Head and Shoulder Pattern.

Inverted Head and Shoulder: Head= 280. Neckline=DDLow 310. (DDLow-Neckline)=30 points. (Neckline+30)= HS Target 340. HS Upside Potential (+9,5%)

Dynamic Deviations: Short term: DDLow=310 BDD=215,68 DDHigh=332,47. Risk Reward Calculation (+0,0%/+7,48%) Extreme good RR!:Some of my thoughts: In recent trading environment it has been wide ranges and extreme volatility, giving fantastic trading opportunities. Now I believe that the market place find itself in a short term state of equilibrium, giving the fact that many instruments are trading close to my Best Dynamic Deviation. Short term shorts has been covered and short term longs has been sold. With this taken in to consideration, I think that in the forthcoming couple of months we will experience that the volatility (VIX), will show signs of stabilisation, giving more narrow trading ranges. With this said, it is important to adjust your trading strategy, and actually get less greedy on your positions. Many traders have got used to trading profits exceeding 20% in many cases, myself included. Maybe we should be happy with 5-10% in the weeks to come…

Happy Trading!

TMT MAN-Hva skjer nå? (click)


Active Trades: LONG TMT Tech Basket U.S (-8,60%) LONG VMED (+1,29%) LONG Xcact BULL (-2,55%) LONG DIG (+1,64%)

Active Trades P/L: (-8,23%)

Executed Trades P/L: (+276,28%) (click)

Total P/L: (+266,42%)

Terminology: My Dynamic Theory

Terminology: Candlestick Patterns

2 kommentarer:

Unknown sa...

Ser du noen gode stock pics på OSE også ?

Mvh

Ronny

TMT MAN sa...

Hei. Mange gode stock picks på osebx nå. STL, SDRL: cup with a handle.Jeg liker å bruke xcact bull. Som jeg skriver , så tror jeg på over 10% oppgang, så er vel bare å velge og vrake. NHY, STL, REC, SDRL, ORK.... Tror peronlig at olje skal outperforme i starten av uken, så har overvekt mot den sektoren nå. Kommer antagelig til å vekte meg ned på olje, for å så kjøpe noe ETF 2* gearing (QLD,IWN,IWO,USD) på Nasdaq, senere i uken. Samtidig tror jeg på tettere tradingranger en periode fremover, så gjelder å være kortere i skjæra. Får en 10% på en trade, så er det rett ut. Kan også se på ulike spreader, hvor en ligger short et instrument, og long et annet, for å minimere markedsrisoko. Kommer tilbake med de beste stock picks for Oslo snart. Ha en god uke!